Gold (XAU) prices remain near the important $4,000 support as high real yields and ETF outflows offset the weaker US dollar and strong central bank demand. In my view, gold may consolidate between $3,950 and $4,200 in the short term but a break above $4,200 could start the next rally. This article examines the key macro drivers, technical levels and market risks that may shape the next move in gold.