Silver (XAG) has broken below $60 as rising oil prices, a stronger U.S. dollar and growing expectations for tighter Federal Reserve policy weigh on the market. In my view, silver may continue lower toward the long term support zone between $40 and $50 before forming a stronger base for a recovery toward $72. This article discusses the inflation outlook, industrial demand for China, the U.S. dollar trend and technical levels that may shape the next move in silver.